30001st poster gets a cookie (cookie thread (Part 7)) (Part 9)

and as i said earlier

everything is priced in

you arent beating the insiders

3 Likes

Efficient Market Hypothesis moment.

1 Like

Don’t even ask the question. The answer is yes, it’s priced in. Think Amazon will beat the next earnings? That’s already been priced in. You work at the drive thru for Mickey D’s and found out that the burgers are made of human meat? Priced in. You think insiders don’t already know that? The market is an all powerful, all encompassing being that knows the very inner workings of your subconscious before you were even born. Your very existence was priced in decades ago when the market was valuing Standard Oil’s expected future earnings based on population growth that would lead to your birth, what age you would get a car, how many times you would drive your car every week, how many times you take the bus/train, etc. Anything you can think of has already been priced in, even the things you aren’t thinking of. You have no original thoughts. Your consciousness is just an illusion, a product of the omniscent market. Free will is a myth. The market sees all, knows all and will be there from the beginning of time until the end of the universe (the market has already priced in the heat death of the universe). So please, before you make a post on wsb asking whether AAPL has priced in earpods 11 sales or whatever, know that it has already been priced in and don’t ask such a dumb fucking question again.

2 Likes

was lugii mangione priced in

2 Likes

he quite literally was

2 Likes

luigi being hot, however, was not priced in.

6 Likes

anger sprouting from insurance ceos driving people to hopelessness and one of them making a radical decision?

you already fuckin know the answer

3 Likes

I kinda disagree with this if only because I think the market can be irrational. It is prone to being fooled; it is prone to be quick to act; it is prone to acting upon impulse. The way you beat the market is recognizing when the market is lacking impulse control and acting upon it.

1 Like

This is markedly different from consistently beating the market, but it’s possible to find holes.

1 Like

Sis it hit $100k like 3 months ago (it’s gone down to like $80k in the last few days along with other ā€œstableā€ coins).

2 Likes

On the 15th of this month, 1% of NVDA was short sold. $33 billion. They’re so cooked.

Edit: idk how to read the chart I’m looking at but the term was like a day? And there are a lot of other shorts on the table in the last few months but one of the graphs showed a huge spike on the 15th so I thought that was the only one. Billions are being short sold on the regular apparently?

2 Likes

I mean the most important reason is so that you build up a credit score so that when you go for a much bigger loan you get more favourable rates

1 Like

I am talking about something different. But yes that is also another trap. My credit is mediocre despite literally never missing a payment of anything in my entire life. My credit score is mid because I do not fuck up. I’m not enough of a sucker. The probability I personally fuck up is too low for some players to risk enticing me with good deals.

Edit: (The secret to not fucking up is to have a high paying job with direct deposit, automate all payments, and use your credit card so little your bank tells you that you have to use it in the next month or they’re going to close the account. I don’t care what anyone tells me is the reason for this, I will die on the hill that I’m being pressured to use it in the hopes that I will fuck up. They’re FOMOing me. I have wealth they wish to extract.)

3 Likes

1277102145526698026

1 Like

I mean when it goes down

2 Likes

my toxic trait is thinking that filing taxes would be a fun activity to do

5 Likes

I have a thesis that BTC will always pump 1 to 1 & 1/2 years after the Halving. I mean, my thesis is based on the fact that this has been true literally every 4 years since (and including) 2013. past performance doesnt yadda yadda i know but like im willing to throw some money at my thesis as soon as it goes back down to earth a little

4 Likes

only real chance that this fails is moreso that government meddling changes the paradigm, but I imagine once bitcoin hits lower values in 2026 that Trump is going to be done talking about it.

5 Likes

Yeah

i’m in the stage of life where i’m trying to make the future actually happen :joy_cat:

1 Like