8-Ball FM - Day 2 (6/8)

may stalling dont like it

may war criming me again say it ain’t so

Im Not tiebreaking

VOTE: dia

not giving may the choice

1 Like

lol

EoD1 Final Votecount

diafiasco (4): tutuu, Chomps, Memekingpizza, Marshal
tutuu (2): Ishmael, diafiasco
Ishmael (1): Xorbitant
Marshal (1): May

You have 1 minute to message me with corrections.

2 Likes

@diafiasco has been executed! They were…

Meteorologist, Vanilla Town

image

You are a Meteorologist, Vanilla Town. Your only weapons are your voice and your vote.
Defeat the Mafia.

diafiasco was the 8-Ball! Mafia will be able to kill tonight!

2 Likes

EoD1 Flavor

Evening, October 33rd, 20XX

FORTRESS WEATHER LIVE headquarters

Good evening again, valued employees! I hope you’ve had a productive day of work. I’m happy to announce that in recognition of your hard work, we will be sponsoring a company pizza party, with one slice of free pizza for each of you!

But first, I need a quick status report on the… restructuring.

What’s that? You’ve identified diafiasco as the responsible party? You found a magic 8-Ball hidden in their desk? That’s great to hear, and we’ll definitely keep that in mind for the blame-heavy postmortem.

diafiasco, you heard them — you’ve been ā€œaskedā€ to resign. Make sure to clear out your desk when you leave! I’m just the CEO, so I’m not sure what all those charts are — I see the word ā€œsynopticā€, but to me that just sounds like a bad eye doctor, haha!

In any case, you’ve got the weather reports for tomorrow morning, right? Our weatherman is going live in five minutes, and I’ve got to make sure they have the script. You did remember our action items, didn’t you? If I hear one more person tell me ā€œAsk again laterā€, I’ll have no choice but to cancel ā€œCasual Fridayā€ this week—

—Wait a minute. I want to circle back around to the 8-Ball. This 8-Ball is brand new. Valued human assets, I think we need to see this as a learning opportunity, alright? By morning, I’ll have revised the restructuring to remove whoever it was that owns this mistake.

SoD2 Flavor

Morning, October 34th, 20XX

FORTRESS WEATHER LIVE headquarters

Good morning, valued colleagues! I regret to inform you that one of your fellow employees, May, has, ah, left to pursue other opportunities. I know there have been a lot of disruptions lately, but I want to remind everyone to treat them as an opportunity for growth. Don’t forget that whatever happens here, our customers will still be expecting to receive their key deliverables.

In recognition of the hard work you’ve been putting in over the past few days, I wanted to remind you all about our employee incentive program! Each month, our top-performing employees will be put into a raffle to win a gift card to FORTRESS WEATHER LIVE’s online merchandise shop, valued at $15. This is just another way that we in upper management like to say thank you to our valued employees!

…What’s that? You want to know if there’ll be any more right-sizing? Well, that really depends on your performance! So, let’s ā€œconcentrateā€ on our work and ā€œask againā€ this evening.


Morning, October 34th, 20XX

FORTRESS WEATHER LIVE channel

Helllllooooo everyone, and welcome back to FORTRESS WEATHER LIVE! Broadcasting live, we have the morning’s weather report.

Now, I have to say, I was pretty concerned about this map! I mean, it looked to me like there was a storm front moving in, with wind conditions perfect for a tornado to develop. But don’t worry — I asked our meteorologists if there was going to be a tornado, and here’s what they told me: ā€œMy sources say no.ā€ Can’t get clearer than that, folks!

But maybe you’re hoping for better weather than just that. Well, I’ve got great news for you! I asked our meteorologists if the sun was going to come back out today, and they said it would, ā€œWithout a doubt.ā€

You heard it here first — now, go out and have a great day at the beach!

@May has died in the night! May was:

Meteorologist, Vanilla Town

image

You are a Meteorologist, Vanilla Town. Your only weapons are your voice and your vote.
Defeat the Mafia.

Six players now remain: four members of the Town and two members of the Mafia.

  • If a member of the Town is executed, and they are the 8-Ball, the game will end with a Mafia victory.
  • If a member of the Town is executed, and they are NOT the 8-Ball, the game will continue.
  • If a member of the Mafia is executed, the game will continue, regardless of whether or not they are the 8-Ball. (If they are the 8-Ball, mafia will be able to kill.)
  • Votes are NOT locked.

Day 2 begins and will end in 48 hours, at 2026-10-17T00:00:00Z, or earlier if a majority is reached for execution. With 6 players alive, majority is 4.

votecount/pings

Marshal
tutuu
Chomps
Memekingpizza
Ishmael
Xorbitant

@Marshal
@tutuu
@Chomps
@Memekingpizza
@Ishmael
@Xorbitant

1 Like

nice ok

MY MARISSATHOUGHTS. TL;DR AT BOTTOM.

Hi! First off, uh, my bad. that’s about all I think is worth saying in this post but I’m getting it out of the way. Things are bad, but with a few base assumptions, this game is incredibly, incredibly winnable. Those base assumptions are easy for me to make, and harder for you all.

Assumption 1: Everyone who did not vote for dia is cleared… this might not be right, but I find it pretty likely. Ish was already towny and stayed on tutuu despite having reasons not to. Locktown. Xorb was already very towny and could be an absurdly lucky wolf but it’s not worth focusing on. May is… May if you’re wolf, I HATE YOU. I think May is the only person off-wagon who could be mafia, because may would be pretty much outted for voting dia imo (no progression), but it is 1. not worth focusing on that possibility, we don’t have the room to play around it, 2. I am never convincing anyone of that possibility even if I believe it. May, Xorbitant, Ishmael, are all locktown, or at the very least, have to be for there to be any hope left.

Assumption 2: One of the 3 people I just listed are dying tonight
We’ll see on this one but its worth caveating just in case. I don’t see a world where that happens and it’s not me so like this is barely worth writing but it is an assumption that makes the rest of this make sense

Assumption 3: I am town
I know this. You guys do not, and may find this very hard to believe. I get that. We can talk about what may be best if you don’t believe this assumption but its one I’m making for this

Viewpoint 1: tutuu is mafia*
*This isn’t actually a 100% necessary assumption, so I am labeling it as viewpoint. I will get to why later, but in short I see almost 0 world where tutuu is town. He was extremely wolfy yesterday, psych’d me out, and knowing that dia was the 8ball I cannot possibly see anything he is doing in good faith. We also likely lose the game anyway if tutuu is town, although with my plan there is room for a village tutuu and a village win. However, I do think this is a necessary supporting point for assumption 5, which is…

Assumption 4: tutuu is 8balled
Tutuu went all out yesterday. He outright said he wasn’t going to fight back today (WHICH IS DUMB AND BAD OF ME TO NOT KILL HIM FOR FUCK ME FUCK ME FUCK ME). I don’t know what he’s actually going to do today, but I do know that tutuu very likely genuinely believes he is going to die today. It may be theoretically worth hiding this information (if he outs immediately then I can much more sure on this, otherwise he may wifom after seeing my post). On the extreme off-chance tutuu is town (chomps/mkp team) he is still probably 8balled. Either way, I just think tutuu is 8balled. He did a bunch of stuff that is, in hindsight, extremely outting, and he knows it. I feel pretty confident he is 8balled. I don’t see any partner of his being 8balled because it would be obvious he bussed them after they flip 8ball, and I don’t see a wolf tutuu 8balling a villager vs. just sending the game to f4.

Viewpoint 2: Chomps is his partner.
I think chomps also went all-out today and he had very bad progression/0 reasoning on dia yesterday, which is something I should’ve also noted. This is, again, not a necessary assumption, its a viewpoint, but it is something I believe. I would give a 80% chance that chomps/tutuu is the exact team

The plan, if you assume assumptions 1, 2, 3, 4:

WE KILL CHOMPS (or MEMEKINGPIZZA ), TODAY.

If you assume 1-4, the game is always won by killing Chomps or Memekingpizza today. I pretty strongly prefer Chomps for gameplay reasons (I think memekingpizza is likely to be the villager in the 3, and I dislike the idea of having 0 room to manuever by killing a towny). 3 Scenarios, all assuming tutuu is 8balled today and a wcs 8ball the next day.

tutuu/chomps, we kill chomps today
Chomps dies, we go into d3 with 1 wolf out of 5 players. We kill tutuu next. Game is over, town wins.

tutuu/memekingpizza, we kill chomps today
Chomps dies, we go into d3 with 2 wolves out of 5 players, f5 lylo. We kill tutuu next. Tutuu was the 8ball, we go into f3 with me, mkp, (may/xorb/ish). We kill mkp. Game is over, town wins

memekingpizza/chomps, we kill chomps today
Chomps dies, we go into d3 with 1 wolf out of 5 players. We go into d3 with 1 wolf out 5 players. tutuu is killed and was the 8ball, we go into f3 with me, mkp, (may/xorb/ish). We kill mkp. Game is over, town wins.

Why not kill tutuu today even if he is 8balled?

tutuu is town
game is over and town loses

tutuu/chomps or tutuu/mkp
Tutuu dies. He is 8balled. We go into d3 with 4 players. (again this is all assuming i am town and everyone believes me on it). The villager out of chomps/mkp is 8balled. That means we can only kill 1 of them, because if we hit the villager its an instaloss.

TL;DR

I believe tutuu is 8balled. IF you lock in assuming 2/3 wolves in chomps/mkp/tutuu, it is always mechanically correct to kill whoever you think is not 8balled, which is mkp/chomps. I personally prefer chomps because I know not everyone is going to assume 2/3 wolves in chomps/mkp/tutuu, and I find it quite likely that he is both wolf and not 8balled.

1 Like

@diafiasco My bad on misreading you and wrongly tunneling you. Your early read on me was good. I messed up.

I was very likely pocketed by 1 or both wolves. So def considering Marissa, MKP, Chomps mafia. A lot of people scumread MKP and just me and Marissa townread him. May notably suspected MKP and Marissa. She townread Chomps. I’ll ISO her

Oh and you too @May my bad too for misreading you and wrongly tunneling you, sorry

it is bad to lose may, I still feel best with may dead because I was the least sure on may being town and it also makes me more confident on tutuu w that may died (because tutuu was primely suspecting may and the fact that may is dead gives me the feeling that wolves were not trying to cater to tutuu’s reads. this isn’t like a perfect reason but its something I thought last night)

@Xorbitant @Aleph you are probably not going to want to read this in full. Please read the tldr at least and ideally please read it in full.

hewwo :3

I thought over it and I imagine it’s two in the wagon, meme and marshal jumped on it when it was decisive and I still trust tutuu somewhat