BotF XXXV: Her Royal Highness Register -- GOOD WINS

Breaking

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nya meow purrrrrr

It’s not conclusions-first

Initially, it was just that IMO it’s +EV to have Litten nominate a virgin, because in the worlds where he’s wolf it prevents him from taking over the game
There was no read on Litten initially, just the base 1/3 chance of people being a wolf FMPOV

Only after Litten refused to nominate did I get a read on him

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I’m less confident than I was earlier, since I’m realizing most people don’t seem to value confirmation as much as I do, but it’s still wolfy

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hey @Hippopablompoyeetus did you lie to me in our whisper
it’s ok to say yes

Steward’s Ledger D1 Whisperlog
[1] Jarek
0/4 ??? ??? ??? ???
[2] Hazardwaste
1/4 Zugzwang ??? ??? ???
[3] Kyubey
2/4 Hippo Mistyx ??? ???
[4] O.kazo
0/4 ??? ??? ??? ???
[5] Hippo
4/4 Zugzwang Kyubey Magnus Chomps
[6] Chomps
1/4 Hippo ??? ??? ???
[7] Kiiruma
0/4 ??? ??? ??? ???
[8] Mistyx
2/4 Magnus Kyubey ??? ???
[9] Zugzwang
3/4 Silviu Hippo Hazard ???
[10] Magnus
2/4 Hippo Mistyx ??? ???
[11] Silviu
1/4 Zugzwang ??? ??? ???
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also @Magnus I don’t think I’m following your last post in the neighbor whisper thbthbthtbhtb

it also occured to me that #4 could be talking about #2 instead of #1, in which case the answer is sorta

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speak of the wolfo! nya meow purrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

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My #4 failed to directly respond to #1 for reasons unbeknownst, your interpretation was correct there. I theorised that the sum of the final message’s conclusion might have been the purpose of the prior observation.

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You’re on your own here!

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Whispering a neighbour should count as half so that you can properly whisper both neighbours if desired.

specifically it seems like consensus is that there’s a wider range of characters that would make a strong player who’d benefit from confirmation choose not to nominate a virgin than I felt

my view is that, as a strong/active player, getting confirmed is very helpful, especially in a 3 evil game
it gives you way more info to solve with and way more influence to push town agenda

this is also why I find it tempting to nominate Chomps and I’ll be doing so if no one else wants to (though thtbthbthtbthbthbt some of me is going “yeah but the worst case scenario is chomps or me is drunk and w!Litten powerwolfs me out of all discussions and it sucks and town loses badly”)

the other thing is that, like
I’m town, I townread Silviu/Chomps, I have some other reads/info™, and there’s 3 evils
so there’s a very high base chance Litten is evil if my townreads are right thtbththtbhtbthb

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it is 10:30 PM and I am very tired
I am not parsing the meaning of this properly

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purrrrrrrrrrr I should not be playing right now
inadvisable

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  1. SHOULD NOT This phrase, or the phrase “NOT RECOMMENDED”, means that there may exist valid reasons in particular circumstances when the particular behavior is acceptable or even useful, but the full implications should be understood and the case carefully weighed before implementing any behavior described with this label.
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I’d strictly request nobody nominated Chomps prematurely regardless of the fact. We might have any assorted list of players (note: two precisely) concerned with utilising D1 abilities to their benefit ahead of time. Thanks in advance.

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oh right
thtbthbthtbhb we should probably decide who’s nominating Chopms and plan day actions around that

Alsaahir guesses probably just shouldn’t include worlds that are going to be resolved anyway
Juggles… I think it makes sense to plan for the world where a virgin doesn’t proc to try and clear that up
Because the world where we get 2 confirmed players is very good regardless

are you going to clarify this thtbhtbthbthtbhtbthb :pleading_face:

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