FAM6 - Thread 7 - Day 5

probably a good look for lucid

I mean it’s like…

You have your Poe. Obviously you feel best about going from the bottom up.

The wolf gets a vote on who makes it to f3 but so does town.

Ideally you want everyone in poe gone by the time it’s f3

If we have 2 miselims before f3, you clear your Poe and the wolf weakens the towncore barring mechanics

That’s how it normally goes.

Theres a few ways this could happen that I see

We decide that occams razor isn’t worth betting in and take meows body of work as ā€œmore likely than not townā€ and lock them as towny for the day. Then the wolf kills them to weaken the top read towns

That’s probably a neutral outcome and the expected one. The wolf doesn’t feel confident letting meow into f3 and betting on tinfoil so meow gets eliminated

The other scenario is meow somehow lives till f3. That would probably involve the wolf leapfrogging over meow to kill someone lower on the poe (meow is number 2 on most lists)

This is either to set up meow tinfoil or because meow is a wolf. I think in either case these 2 worlds feel like …not as good? Even though you would rather have a confirmed town make it to f3, the fact that they even could introduces a wifom element that kind of muddies the waters

This was a lot of yapping about nothing tbh. Still don’t really know how I feel about it.

Earlier I was content to just have meow be town because more likely than not they are town based on the total of what they have done. Subjectively speaking. But if you could cheat a read on someone in poe aka find a reason for them to be town via research, you could take a chance on a meow shot.

Don’t even get started about the wifom involved in a wolf!marlux potentially shading meow to improve their chances to endgame

Zzzzzz

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i actually think none of this might matter if it is a lost wolf that rejoined the chat

lol

Howso, because they would just be more classicaly wolfy and it would be someone like chomps or lucid?

i mean if it was a lost wolf they probably werent in the pack on d2 (though couldve been) and therefore probably didnt know that baudib was wolf kp

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Baudib1 (9): benguinedparbecue, nutella, meow, diafiasco, jason.mrrown, Lucid_Daydream, SherlockHolmes, Memekingpizza, Chomps
Achromatic (7): iamagummybear, Baudib1, SirDerpsAlot, HeroShotter9000, Lissa, Relm, Leafia
SirDerpsAlot (6): Marluxion, Jinrou, Wazza, Selkie, Cape90, Mistyx

Achromatic (11): iamagummybear, Baudib1, HeroShotter9000, Marshal, meow, SirDerpsAlot, mimi, boredofboredom, Relm, Italy, Leafia
Baudib1 (8): benguinedparbecue, nutella, diafiasco, jason.mrrown, Lucid_Daydream, SherlockHolmes, Memekingpizza, Chomps
SirDerpsAlot (7): Marluxion, Jinrou, Wazza, Selkie, Cape90, Lissa, Kyubey

these maybe more telling

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lowkey maybe it is legit just meow that vote swap is not great

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w/e i need to get to bed so i can be up for ita3 tomorrow

gn

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I should hunt for Linda’s colored reads list for d1, repost mine for d2, find whoever did them for d3.

Edit them with current info and post them

Could help

And by reads list I mean eod vote list

I’m on mobile ATM so that would be a pita but if I don’t do it now I’ll do it later

Yeah this could help. It feels like day 2 was the most important day wagonomics wise

Gnight, I’ll try to leave my thoughts before I sleep I’ll probably miss ita3

Was baudib wagon pure…

Hmmmmmm

I wish I could channel the spirit of Twice Shrunk here, didn’t know I’d need to be doing potentially game solving wagonomics so soon

I’ll wait till I’m home in about 2.5 hours and take a crack at it and see what happens

Also Relms voting at eod d2 was flat out terrible and she flipped town so I’m like

Not thrilled about my chances here but w.e

ITA Window 2 has ended!

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Best ITA window so far tbh, can’t miss if you don’t take any shots

Anyways I’ll be back in like 2.5 hours

Meant for that to be its own post not an edit but w.e guess I’m tired