Frieren: Beyond Journey's End Mafia - Day 2 [15/17]

Hippopablompoyeetus (5): 36501, tutuu, diafiasco, Leafia, snow
carbonated (5): soweli, Hippopablompoyeetus, melatonin, catbae, Eve
Eve (1): jason.mrrown
jason.mrrown (1): carbonated
beancat (1): AngryFrog
36501 (1): Frostwolf103 :crown:

Not Voting (3): Willow, Kiiruma, beancat

I can’t put a finger, but its harder for me to convince you may be not deep wolf. What you’re pushing Tutuu you may have a valid point. I do think the anti-spew from Hippo hasn’t worn off when he voted Tutuu with you and Catbae, do you still believe Tutuu is wolf?

these are hippo’s two actually significant posts on carbon. they’re like. eh. he voted her at EoD but i think that was pretty forced & also hippo was presumably doomed?

Like the thought running through my mind is did he actually think this was the optimal play for masons & was just a normal play to buy him a day or did he intend to be so wolfy that it muddies any attempt to read anything there. Because these are kinda exclusive & paint two different pictures of wolfteam

I had tutuu as being good from hippo interactions

its day 2 my assumptions are many

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but the thing is… the carbon wagon did get pretty large to the point where hippo and carbon were really close
and if carbon goes over and flips wolf, what happens d2 when beancat comes out and says she’s not masons with hippo?

busy and will continue being busy

I see gummy has vaguely been on. I didn’t backread too carefully and don’t know when/if I will – my impressions from eod1 last night though:

  • I think dia had good posts. slightly freaked out by one post where dia explicitly unpaired themselves with hippo, but I liked the post about them missing hippo scumslipping? and also I liked how dia tackled the mason claim
  • frost overall towny on my understanding of his positioning on hippo, but also I understand that frost is hard to read as either alignment?
  • also agree w/ dia that I was kinda paranoid of catbae after eod1, agree with 36501 that catbae was definitely on 36501 last night bc his breadcrumbs are really good in retrospect…
  • eve had not good positioning I think, but I’m vaguely still townleaning? (hippo vote on her, I liked the sod2 opener…)
  • speaking of, not super townreading tutuu. I agree that hippo was getting bussed at some point, and I’m not sure when tutuu jumped on/started pushing hippo a lot. there was one post where tutuu told me to not overthink hippo’s claim, which reads really good but also raised my paranoia a ton. it reminded me of a recent game with wolf dia where dia told me that they were confident the current vote would flip wolf (if you recall that, it was the loudifying empowerer). but tutuu hasn’t really struck me as the type to bus his partner d1 unless he really had to, and I don’t know if he had to…(I think leafia pointed this out along the lines of, hippo wouldn’t have been voted out if tutuu was his partner. which I kinda do buy, so I don’t know). so maybe I’m just overthinking it!!
  • if catbae was actually shot, there’s some wifom regarding carbon bc catbae said something about hippo sounding paired with carbon. don’t know what to make of it. if carbon is mafia, she’s likely not vanilla? so then it makes both wagons w/w, which makes me (and some others) look worse, I guess! maybe carbon needs to post more
  • oh and willow. similar to tutuu read, I don’t know how I feel about how confident she was in hippo’s thing being fake time-buying.
  • I think dia said beancat was null despite hippo’s mason thing; agree with that. think regardless of alignment, the assumption would be beancat would reject hippo and still would have some wifom or whatever.
  • surely missing people but these are mostly off the top of my head

gummy has already said that she wasn’t aware of the full situation before she voted – I was aware but was unable to find the chance to properly explain to gummy in the time window (I thought I would be freed earlier, but I was seriously delayed). but yeah, she didn’t mean to hammer either

be back in a few hours probably?

meow

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Ignoring Carbonated, Angryfrog, Kiiruma and Beancat on PoE (unless hard evidence)

That leaves Willow, Soweli, Catbae, Eve, 36501, Tutuu, Dia and Snow. 3 at most, 17 qualify for 4 mafia team after all.


ok i didn’t actually think they were that close
you can craft worlds such as:

  1. other two partners are like Eve/melatonin/you who are there to cinch it in case things go wrong (Also include angryfrog in this; didn’t vote but it could’ve been overdetermined though i don’t think they’re likely w/w regardless)
  2. he is partnered with bean & she doubles down (possible but unlikely)
  3. Hippo was trying to be wolfy this was just never supposed to happen
  4. Hippo was going to walk it back & hope for the best
  5. Hippo would just be bussed into the ground to set up the last two wolves into the ground

let me see how she’s been posting today

i think willow is town off this post. For context, willow was trying to vote hippo but it wasn’t showing up in the vc. It shows she desperately cares about her vote mattering, which I think comes from t!willow since voting is one of town’s most powerful weapon after all. The only edge case where I’d reevaluate this is if hippo and carbon are w/w and w!willow really wanted to bus hippo to save carbon

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as opposed to hippo/carbon v/w??

oh i misread i thought you meant hippo/willow sorry

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Catbae and Soweli, applying with simple solution, is too small of gap to have at least one wolf in here. 3 out of 6, if not at least 1 wolf 100%

image
sorry guys im tilting max burnout rn ill play later

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hello chat i got a notificaiton which means i remembered this game exists

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anyways
wow who could have seen this one coming

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he called me some obscenities and left because i hit a nasty seagull. he did however gender me correctly. why does he even remember im a girl

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It wasnt even high damage i just got max airtime which is aura

beancat probably

i thought this looked bad tbh if anything & i’m kinda confused as to why dia said they were towny besides just ‘confusion’ it feels like a vote designed in wolfchat to give them towncred given their newbie status

i don’t think she really saw it coming if she wasn’t online before it happened

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anyways
lmao

Non-alignment indicative for me. Not to mention early posts. (#1403)

This would be a good focus for the day, unironically I have both 36501 and Willow as scumlean.