Grande Idea - Endgame - Mafia wins

Same question for you, @jason.mrrown.

Meow remains my strongest townread.

Willow hasn’t progressed but more people have townread them (you and daeron) so I think they can continue to be a townlean in my book

You and daeron I feel neutral about but both of you have been active about making reads and posting so I expect I’ll be able to find you later on.

That leaves a pool of carbon / gummy / zoe / marluna / pandora / hazard / leafia

Leafia specifically hasn’t been active at all

2 Likes

townlean barring sorta bastard mech?: marluna
neutral-townlean: ash / jason
neutral-slight-townlean: hazard / willow / pandora / zoe
neutral : gummy / daeron / carbon
[existing probably neutral]: leafia

disclaimer: ā€œOne makes one’s little judgments–but nine times out of ten one is wrongā€ + historically my d1 reads are like. random levels, so really I should be metagaming myself and looking for 1 mafia in each of [neutral], [neutral-slight-townlean], [neutral-townlean+townlean] probably, but that’s not helpful bc obviously I’m not going to be able to differentiate between them.

I’m not very happy with the neutral tier bc it def feels too ā€œeasyā€ – I’m just picking everyone who hasn’t posted a ton or hinted about their roles which never actually works as a heuristic

also I still haven’t backread yesterday really, so these might get updated but probably just in that people get moved up :chart_with_downwards_trend:

2 Likes

same reasoning for my willow read, insane

2 Likes

Edit: i forgot hazard also townread willow

1 Like

Out of curiosity, what makes you put Hazard/Pandora above Daeron/Carbon?

1 Like

tf is ash saying im mafia

i couldn’t parse his longpost

BRO

YOU THINK MAFIA ME WOULD SAY KILL MEOW KILL MEOW KILL MEOW

1 Like

im crashing out

how are you always wrong on me

literally the way to read me is to read what ash says about me and flip it

…this isn’t a response to my argument.

i don’t even know what your argument is

also why would i respond to something so patently false

I’m arguing that t!you exhibits more drive to solve the game as a means of understanding and parsing it while w!you feels no such urge and thus is far more confident in their reads and posts.

hazard and pandora both said stuff about their roles, so I am automatically inclined to believe they’re more likely to be town

annoyingly hazardposting has generally felt more likely to be town than pandora’s, but I find it more plausible to imagine mafia being like ā€œmy role is a role of all timeā€ (or something) vs. ā€œmy role is strong but sucksā€ and then updating it to ā€œsucks but strongā€

anyway, everyone in that tier is basically someone who has casually mentioned something about their role + has townreads on them from other players

1 Like

If you want to dispute my argument, we can discuss that, but I do feel I’ve been rather clear about my arguments here.

gummy!

it’s d1 my dude

i hasn’t been halfway into d1

i have an exam on monday

YOURE ALSO JUST WRONG
the only read ive made is that jason feels very towny ??? which ya he does
he’s been asking questions that i would expect of town jason, and as far as i know his wolf game and town game are pretty polarized which is why i was OKAY making that read
there’s nothing that he’s posted afterwards that would make me take it back anyways

you’re like reaching really hard
you also don’t know my meta; mafia me lets people carry everything for her and i even like. don’t push people hard as mafia until after a couple of days ;(

1 Like

does he townread you when you are mafia

yes

see: odyssey

1 Like

like in cheesings ash was convinced i was mafia until mafia killed me and flipped town

and im pretty sure he was convinced i was mafia in upick too??

i was town in both ;(