Last Stand of the Virtuous 5.5 [Jarek Redux] - BD/Decadent King Win!

i read the first few zone posts and they all looked fucking weird okay

very terse like there is a bit. and it IS a bit because this was a lie and the weird sentance structure looks like it’s supposed to cover for ā€œRestrictions were setā€

i don’t like this bit

that’s just zone being zone

he is >rand town imo

I blame that on my sleep deprivation, but hey: Your dislike is a cause for me to tunnel you, so I ain’t stopping you.

fascinating developments are occuring

I hate to be agreeing with something a good bit later that Catbae has already said, but I think Zone’s posts just read as… Zone, not alignment indicative.

VOTE: childe

i agree that this seems like the most likely person to be evil, at the minute

most posters just seem towny

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i think it’s kind of hard to say because, well, a bunch of people are inactive (fol moment)

can easily be a situation where we have a bunch of afks, some are scum, some are not, we basically have to rng our guesses and hope for the best, but also it is way too hard to solve who is evil in the active players

I am posting my questions one-by-one so that they do not get lost in my catch-up post.

Atlas, could you explain the source of this read? I find myself disagreeing at the point I am in thread.

i have little to no explaination
i thought they were very, very, very mildly towny at that specific moment

hi im here now.
think of the ao3 author curse but its me signing up to games
its like midnight ill. do stuff in the morning

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that’s so real

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Apologies again for my absence. It has been a hectic week, but I should be able to get to the game properly now. I am familiar with the setup, as I had a chance to read it over before signing up, though the large volume of content means that I do not feel especially confident in playing it.

It is often said that entering based off of another’s opener is a wolftell, and while I do not agree with universal application of ā€œobjectiveā€ tells, I do agree that Amelia’s initial post is mildly wolfy in this particular context. It ā€œleans onā€ Willow in a way that I find a wolf would be liable to do if Willow is town.

Opening with a strange complaint is something I’d tend to find towny, and my specific experience with Frostwolf103 would back that up – I do not know exactly what he is claiming needs a balance patch, but it doesn’t strike me as a thought that a wolf wants to present as their first thing coming into thread.

This general line of pure-mechanical conversation from Willow, Kelsier, and Amelia is not something I am used to reading, as high-complexity open setups are not usually my cup of tea. It is something that may as well have happened pre-game, as far as reads are concerned.

For this reason, I find it difficult to look into any individual post as a reason to wolfread or townread a specific player, but it is still well possible to form reads on how a player goes about this kind of discussion and speculation. In particular, I find it likely that a wolf who is having trouble making an entrance into thread would lean on this mechanical discussion in order to be seen as a vocal player – unfortunately, all three of Willow, Amelia, or Canping could fit this specific bill at this time, and I do not think they make up the entire wolfteam. I almost have the instinct to say that there is exactly (or ā€œat leastā€) one wolf in the three, but that is a completely arbitrary call reinforced by statistical likelihood, and it is one that I don’t think is actually supported by evidence. I dislike such ultimatums which do not actually provide any true reason that their converse is likely to be untrue.

Ultimately, the only action I’d like to take right now is to keep an eye on the trio’s future engagements to see if they show any trouble engaging in non-mechanical discussion.

The immediate restriction of the claim-space is rather villagery from Zone_Q11 here. While there is no reason that a wolf cannot try to claim instantly, cutting away options for emergency, reactive claims, especially in a setup with falsifiable investigative information, is a significant disadvantage to a wolf, and one that I feel a mechanically-experienced player like Zone_Q11 would be less likely to take. Of course, such a claim carries social advantage, but it is usually not enough to make up for the lack of flexibility in one’s options.

A strange source of a read: when I have discussed setup design with Zone_Q11, he seemed to sometimes miss the social elements of role claiming in this way, and tends to think of mechanics and socials as separate objects. Our differing philosophies on anti-claim in particular reinforce this view. In that light, I feel somewhat better about townreading this claim.

This is a mildly villagery opening from Daeron, as it is unafraid of looking awkward and stilted in a way that I feel wolves tend to avoid. The engagement from Kelsier strikes me as awkward for similar reasons to Amelia’s opener (though to less of a degree, as it is not Kelsier’s very first post).

I find the announcement of ā€œfinding random targetā€ to be slightly awkward here, though it does not especially clash with my understanding of Zone_Q11’s personality. From another player, I would find it wolfier, but I am willing to let it slide here.

I do agree with Atlas’s opener here: the start of this game was unusually difficult to read because of its density of mechanical talk. Sharing this initial observation rather than trying to force reads in an opener is somewhat villagery.

Similarly, I do slightly like the confidence of this post: an Atlas who has received an Evil King rolecard knows that Jarek is the type to place an Evil King in the game, and unless Atlas found this fact especially shocking, would be more liable to assume that others could deduce this information. I am not especially familiar with Jarek’s setup design sense or the setup here, though, so this introduces some hesitance into the read: there is still the case where Atlas was surprised to receive an Evil King rolecard.

I will confess that I have been posting and reading slightly non-chronologically: the immediate put-down from the other players colours my read on Atlas significantly, though not in one cohesive direction. It makes it clear that Atlas’s point about using meta on Jarek was not solid, and I find points which are non-solid in this exact way to be especially wolf-indicative, as ultimately wolves are by far the most likely to have arguments which just do not add up. However, it makes it harder to imagine a well-informed evil Atlas choosing to make this point in sincerity: Atlas could simply not be well-informed on how this argument would be received, of course, but I am still given pause.

I will admit that I got a laugh out of this interaction, though I find it difficult to see as alignment-indicative for Daeron. Kelsier has continued to engage with the thread primarily to quip off of others’ posts, which I continue to find wolfy.

I do inexplicably like this interaction from Atlas, though I am not sure exactly why. Normally I am able to explain my instincts: this one I cannot.

I have had a long day and it is getting late for me, so my eyes are beginning to glaze over at this thread. This is a thoughtful post from Daeron which indicates a certain mindset that I would like to ensure they are consistent with in the future, but I am struggling to make an alignment call on this post in particular.

Presuming Kyo refers to Daeron from the context of future replies, I actually like the exact mind-meld here from Willow: we both agree that there is a read to be found on Daeron, but it is difficult to figure out at present due to external circumstances. The fact that we are both tired is, of course, not alignment indicative, but seeing the same results from that tiredness and having the same reaction to this post is nice to see.

Though I am not familiar with the meta that produced it, and I try not to use second-hand meta regardless, I find this call to be rather reductive in a way that somewhat softens my positive opinion on Atlas. This is twice now that I have felt significant dissonance in our reads, which is not a sign I especially like: the town, of course, are not just the players who agree with me, but I am my best example of a town thought process, and consistent deviation from this is a warning sign.

This is the first post from Kelsier that I have actually found villagery, though it does not entirely cancel out the awkwardness of the previous posts.

Standing up to the read I found awkward and reductive is another good sign from Willow.

A third dissonant read. Of course, my read on Willow is based on our agreeing, so this is not surprising. I do not think this disagreement actually indicates much about Atlas’s alignment. If I were a different kind of player, I would say a read as specifically a neutral is wolf-indicative for Atlas, but I do not believe in that kind of tell.

Calling out a fakeclaim immediately… does negate my named reason to townread Zone_Q11, and I do not understand the mechanical purpose of instantly backtracking on the claim. However, I am not going to entirely retract my townread here.

…well, nevermind. My thought was that Zone_Q11 was simply lying about having fakeclaimed in order to backtrack on a true claim, but if there is no existing role that Zone_Q11 could be (I do not have time to check the list at the moment), then that theory cannot be true. I suppose I do have no reason to townread him after all. This does not, however, constitute a wolfread.

I find this opener to be wholly non-alignment indicative, much like the majority of the mechanical discussion we have seen.

I did fail to think of this reasoning for townreading Willow (despite agreeing with the read overall), and I find it to be solid, though I do not think this is an especially good reason to townread catbae – this is an easy read to make.

I appreciate the specific question from Atlas here – it shows some level of curiosity. catbae’s post continues to be difficult for me to pull anything from, though I may just be getting tired.

This is another opener that backpacks off somebody else’s post, though I can see better where it would come from as a villager – it is a reaction to the first post soweli saw rather than a reply to a later post indicating reading-but-not-writing. Ultimately, I also feel neutral about this post. Perhaps I should get some rest.

This burst of posts is… something I would call villagery from anybody else, but Chomps showed ability to take on this kind of tone in Kakegurui: Compulsive Gambler Mafia and ultimately won the game off of it.

This is… an obvious statement.

My reads are clearly decaying and I am no longer giving meaningful thoughts on these players, so I am going to call it a night. I am very sorry for my lack of ability to play, and I hope I will be feeling more refreshed tomorrow. Thank you for your patience.

To give a rough idea of where I am at:

Willow t
Frostwolf103 lt
Daeron n
Atlas n
Zone_Q11 n
Amelia n
Kelsier lw

soweli, Chomps, catbae, and Kiiruma n, though in a ā€œlack of parsed contentā€ sense rather than having seen sufficient readable posts but receiving no strong lean from them: I suspect my lack of read here is more due to my own exhaustion than it is to being in a truly ā€œnull positionā€.

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i’m surprised you read the thread and only came out with three reads
equally that you had a lot to say about myself but came to no conclusion

i’m privy to text walls, but i can’t particularly say ā€œi’m waiting for you to say moreā€.

do you have any games of yourself as wolf avaliable

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what’s yup

Will i get death tunneled again because someone will think i am canping and death tunnel me for not having enough substance in posts?

atlas is town