oh i just figured something out. zone didnt have the gun. cos if he did, then frost would never have unvoted zone.
okay so, mafia had to shoot lol even tho he was voting choochoo because they already spent too long not outing the neighborhood and it would become a liability.
lets say they didnt shoot lol. the next day the PR (frostwolf) will put themselves in the neighborhood with the gun against the person who had the gun last time (foolishjoy) and shoot them because they will be suspicious why they didn’t out the neighborhood. its likely that the person with the gun fake claimed town neighborizer or theyre mafia partners with the other person in the neighborhood and thats why they didnt shoot them
so it goes like this
- mafia dont shoot lol → zone/choochoo lynched → random nightkill → PR shoots the mafia who previously had the gun (unless zone had gun and lynched)
ends up being guaranteed 1 towns killed, 1 mafia killed (previous gunholder) and ~50/50 chance another mafia/town is killed (zone).
- mafia shoot lol → zone/choochoo lynched → random nightkill but try to hit the PR so they cant throw shade on you
ends up being 2 guaranteed towns killed and 50/50 chance zone/choochoo is killed. there’s a chance they don’t lose any mafia and get 3 towns killed. whereas if they dont shoot lol they might still lose both.
so there’s a lot better value if they shoot lol even though it seems counterintuitive at first