A
His action gives some info precisely bc there is presumably a lot less conspirators than guests right
Idk i havent done the full math yet but assuming 50% chance of reverse result and around 1/4 of the game being mafia we have
1/4 times 1/2 + 3/4 times 1/2 = 1/2 :( okay my intuiton was incorrect
I don’t think she is tbf, I think she’s just uninvested (there’s a difference in my brain I swear)
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Make sense.
So there’s likelyhood of multiball?
No the probabiliy of getting a conspirator result around my assumptions js 1/2, same with probability of getting a villager result so chomps cop only tells us things if the probability of reversing the result or whatever is less than 50%
The way catbae wolf cased people was very straight to the point and no nuance, which could be a tunneled towny, but I didn’t see traces of being tunneled otherwise.
So, the confidence in the walls doesn’t match the approach to thread in general, which suggests a wolf that’s 1) having an agenda/plan 2) focusing on sounding towny
He also defended snowe in a gamestate where snowe could be in danger, which makes me wonder if he’s the powerwolf type or more keen to bus
If a heavy busser → less likely w, but more likely w/w with Jarek (his first wolf case)
That can explain the behavior, sure
@iamagummybear What that means is that Chomps might have investigated Wazza and got returned as conspirator. I did try to dissuade Chomps to continue here.
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I think there migjt have beem wolves who scumread snowe to try and get to the 7 or whatever markers to get a kill
And there might be some of them on the d1 wagon bc it probably looked weird to scumread someone without voting them and the t3 wagon had a lot more votes anyways so unlikely to have gone over
That’s exactly why it wouldn’t work, they themselves will get caught in the crossfire and die.
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Yeah rip ur probably right
So unless there’s a specific role that allow you to multi-target.
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Therefor…with my mech I gathered so far, it’s Pandora
In case the markers are still persisting due to necromancer, then all the more reason
I think Catbae will be spewed town if pandora flips wolf.
what how is cop less investment than block
Vote Count
catbae (2): Jarek, Wisdom
Rue (1): Wazza
Ruby (1): Rue
May (1): Hippopablompoyeetus
pandora (1): Frostwolf103
Hippopablompoyeetus (1): O.kazo
Not Voting (11): catbae, Cattail_5.0, Cattail_IV, iamagummybear, Liattac_VI, May, Memekingpizza, meowl, pandora, Ash, Ruby
Why would that be surprising to you?
when i said i threw, i meant specifically with my reads, nothing more
also the thing i sent you is not the same as the thing i sent to may
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