There's No Freaking Way I'll Be Your Mason! Unless... -- Day 4 (8/14)

poor ash

I don’t really know how to appeal to you anyway, since you’ve clearly decided the risk/cost is worth it

like no matter what I do or have done, it’s not going to outweigh the mech result in your brain I think

meowwwww

yeah idt we should vote meow today

i think it’s likely mafia just shot ash n2 and then dia just died lol

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you did think I was socially wolfy I thought – is it bc of the cop claim?

yes

also cause i think ash’s reasoning is not great

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It’s good that ash used the first 24 hrs to judge reactions before revealing his mech result

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Ig qbcord is different bc of phase lengths but the strat of revealing mech results at sod is certainly not optimal

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I agree and was going to play similarly if I had gotten a useful result

however it is driving me nuts that the game doesn’t want to figure this out (I am being uncharitable and impatient, and I apologize, but still.)

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even if somehow people decide “hey let’s not vote out the cop” who do we even want as the counterwagon

and it’s not fair of me to say this I know bc I don’t have any suggestions myself, but regardless

Do you want to try doing pairings/unpairings

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major unpairings:

  • I think frost/hippo and shending/barwe are too stapled/paired to be real
  • I think barwe push on chomps is real/unpaired
  • chances are chomps random sus on frost wasn’t distancing, but I am not as confident
  • I think frost would have been clearer about his position on snow (easy townread on your partner) but I recall he was very roundabout with his read, so much that dia had to ask him point blank about it (and I don’t even recall the answer)
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additional unpairings:

  • frost/shending - I recall shending was having a lot of trouble understanding frost’s reads, and I do vaguely feel like it would be extra work to try to understand in thread, maybe I am wrong on this though. on the other hand, frost did push shending out of the d1 wagon on him, so actually yeah this is unpairing I think
  • snow/barwe - barwe put snow at 3 votes d1 I think for not having posted much, could have voted frost or gummy for a different lowposter wagon
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oh I vaguely unpaired snow with chomps bc it felt too lowpostery but I guess it’s theoretically possible

I think the remaining pairings are

  • frost/barwe
  • hippo/snow
  • hippo/shending
  • hippo/barwe
  • hippo/chomps
  • snow/shending
  • shending/chomps

if I think hippo and frost are generally towny, then that leaves any 2 of [shending, snow, chomps] I think? barwe managed to unpair himself with all three of them in my head it seems

disclaimer: I’m probably wrong, don’t take it personally

additional disclaimer: I did not iso for this, so it’s just all off memory (mostly of d1 I think)

I missed like a bunch of pairings the first time I wrote this post, so I might have still forgotten a bunch, but hopefully not

anyway I’m wrong bc the poe is too pushable to be real

This is key. How did u get this information? In 2855 u say u it is not confirmed.

But knowing this with certainty is the only thing that guarantees that mafia could make 2 kills 1 night. Otherwise it is just an assumption, and a critical one in order to believe the redcheck on meow.

So really, that^ is not the question at all. The question is whether or not they could make 2 shots in one night. If they did, they absolutely would pick u and YBW n1. If not, what happened is simply u failed to choose the right person n1, and n2 u got shot and redirected it 2 Dia.

I obvs have no idea how common this is so 2 me it would be an extraordinary theory to put my trust in if not proven.

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I keep thinking back to the things I messed up when defending in frieren, but I don’t think I have the energy to really action on them and I am sorry for that.

the game is so silent, I feel like I’m not really able to convince anyone, there is no discussion. it’s probably a time zone thing. it might also just be that I’ve been really low-energy all day. like jason I appreciate you, but I don’t know if you can ignite my self-preservation instincts bc I don’t have any

probably it’s bedtime for me, and I’ll see how things pan out tomorrow

–well barwe just showed up, want to talk?