Screw it; we’ll drop a portion of it.
In effect, I know I was shot either N1 or N2. If I was shot N1, meow is mafia; if I was shot N2, my info means nothing.
Either case would involve mafia starting the game with an extra kill (which is reasonable to me given that minus any protection, they’d get a worse endgame in exchange for potentially removing a PR/high-poster).
I think that given this, it is much more likely that mafia shot YBW and me N1, after I claimed Bodyguard and would’ve been guaranteed consensus town come D2, rather than Dia and me N2, when I was very much under the radar and not doing much of anything that day. Consequently, aforementioned 65-70% chance.