18981st poster gets a cookie (cookie thread (Part 7)) (Part 10)

That was the point of the post lol. The candidate was a hillary/kamala/newsom stand in

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yeah no i agree i very much would rather him not be the democratic candidate in 2028 but thats getting more into my personal opinion than the rules of this thread allow :P

yeah but you’re wrapping right back around to doing that xdd

Hochul is arguably doing just as much for redistrciting as newsom, she’s just not also begging to be president at the same time lol.

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as much as i hate to say it im afraid a woman might actually be unelectable rn

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we’ve tried it twice and although neither was a great candidate biden wasn’t standout better

there are people to whom that matters even though it really shouldn’t

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fucked up but unless we can get like an utterly fantastic candidate its looking like an uphill battle we aren’t prepared to win atm

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dismal state tbh

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I mean, like, maybe. I think the two women that have been in serious contention for president of the united states have both been uniquely dislikeable for reasons beyond them being women.

you can’t force people to just like a candidate is what I’m saying. Like you can’t just force people to like and be enthusiastic about someone like newsom who is “fighting back” while in reality probably just maintaining a biden-era status quo

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as i said i dont think biden was standout better than kamala lel

and hillary won the popular vote even but the issue is that the electoral college favors places that are much more likely to care

im not saying you could never do it, just that i dont think it would happen rn from any realistic choices

like who are you gonna pick, AOC?

this being said the minute big gretch steps up i am her number one fan for 2028

i was gonna say big gretch if not AOC. Out of the current pool I’d pull for AOC tho

and fwiw I actually think things aren’t looking bad for 2028 depending on the candidate. The republicans are going to face a serious anti-incumbency bias, and trump has a unique special sauce that attracts voters in a way no other candidate can replicate. I think if you put Stock Generic Dem (let’s say Jon Ossoff) against Stock Generic Rep (let’s say Marco Rubio), Ossoff wins.

Polling doesn’t back this up fwiw but 2026 is probably going to be a blue wave even bigger than '18 is my insane prediction. Special election margins and demo polling makes me think the house is going super blue and dems have an outside shot at states like texas for the senate. I usually have tempered expectations but I think the momentumn is there.

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aoc loses median to republicans screaming “sjw” prolly :upside_down_face:

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depends on how midterms go i think, so too early to call 28

Trump had a really fucking special moment engaging latino voters and younger gen z, and it’s seeming like he really lost them. If he loses ground there and dems maintain the building upon with suburbanites and the college educated (the people who vote in midterms) it could be a slaughter

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Look, in theory I agree, but her polling in the general populous is actually… way better than most centrist dems

ofc this is like 5 months ago but, like, when polled on her she’s actually relatively liked. That could change on a national stage but

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2 points above trump isn’t fantastic tbh

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like sure he won the last election but he was facing a uniquely easy-to-beat opponent who had like a two-month campaign

This is feb 1, 2025 trump, BARELY after inauguration. He saw a super, super serious slide from this point. He was actually reasonably popular at the start of this term, this poll is probably undershooting it

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