Kittens Game: Combinatorics Mafia - GAME OVER, TOWN WIN

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#3134

No literally

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#3135

splitting into 3/3 clears 3 people but it bets the game on finding 1 wolf out of 3 socially in worst case csenario

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Last Stand of the Virtuous V: Venerated - Day 3 (10/17) - UNSEEN AND VISCOUNT WIN
#3136

In that scenario mafia manages to get a perfect 3/3 tonight?

#3137

Guava whats ur thoughts on 2/3

1 Like
#3138

i dont understand what u mean

im accounting for worst case scenario - the mafia guess 3/3 tonight. im thinking what is the best thing we can do if tomorrow is our last day

#3139

this
Guava does this not make you reeval Kii at all?

#3140

image

Zugzwang pov rn
Like I don’t think that vote was irrelevant at all because it didn’t gain traction because like half the cast is dead set on the idea he’s a wolf…

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#3141

LockTown
Zugzwang, yours truly, SDA

Trusttown
tutuu,bionic

2/3
Kiiruma, Marluna, Ash

The rest
Frostwolf103
Someone
Hippopablompoyeetus
guavagudetama

We absolutely need to check who in the 2/3 is the nonscum, if we check a group of the rest we’re just left with a bunch of 50/50s (which is why hippo’s suggestion is horrible)

My suggestion is Ash/hippo/guava

if we end up with 0, we know for a fact it’s in frost/someone
if we end up with 1, we’re clearing frost/someone cause we have all 3 in that group of 5
if we end up with 2 we know for a fact it’s ash + 50/50 on the remaining two in each group

#3142

Is this just Kiiruma-Marluna-Guava?

#3143

Guava I have pointed out many contradictions and bad progression from Kii
they are not hard to find

#3144

So far we know mafia has had a 1 and then a 0.

This means that they have 1 Mason (Prob between 3)
And 2 Masons (Prob between 3)

If they’re playing it optimally.

The chances of hitting it perfectly would be a 1/3 x 2/3 x 1/2 = 2/18 = 1/9.

#3145

yall stop tryin to read for a second and do the combinatorics for me

#3146

I mean if you really think it’s Kiiruma let’s prove it right here right now

VOTE: Kiiruma

This is 0/1 wolves

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#3147

Guava who do u think mafia in in Ash/kii/marl

#3148

Bingo.

#3149

Clearly Ash/Marluna based on the previous post lol

#3150

that is unbelievable

#3151

Guava is a wolf

#3152

if they’re shooting completely randomly which they have no reason to, id like to give them the respect that they can socially hunt for the masons and narrow it down further. like we have been doing for the wolves

#3153

Bro is openwolving.