Millennium Theory - Act 1, Scene 1 (17/17) [Backup Needed]

Something to look forward about Guava since May pushed her, I can’t imagine what’s in May mind besides having vibe check passed.

I wasn’t online at that time, but I feel Guava shouldn’t be let under the radar.

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:person_shrugging:

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Could be just memeing this early.

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morning scrimblos

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i don’t really believe you tbh and i’m worried you could be some wolf role that gets mega buffed if you get this thing

but let me read the rest of the game

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And then what do when i dont deliver the soft red check?

Im also puzzled as to why its seemingly so easy and there could be a mafia counter but i cant know the hidden stuff, this is all i got

why do you want to vote leafia for it? like willow said there are probably 2 criteria for this and even if you think she’s town why would you want to vote her over someone you get a townread on later?

make up some bullshit about getting roleblocked or you forgetting something, i dunno

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I can think of possible mafia counters but thats because its an experimental closed setup and people could have power limited only by imagination. So like everything is theoretically possible. I wont tunnel vision the mech too much, but fmpov it seems straightforward for me to campaign for the vote. And from ur guys pov - im putting myself in the spotlight, regardless of my alignment, a wolf will be getting cooked (hopefully), so. Unless mafia has a custom built counter and only villagers get cooked but theres only so much i can predict when the potential is infinite

You can execute me if i say either of those

actually i agree with it but more for the way may is townreading jarek, like the initial read and then reeling it in felt towny to me, the discourse with guava too is also pretty good, but it’s mainly the former thing

i had a similar reaction to jarek’s posts but with his wolf resume i realize it’s silly to townread him for anything he’s posted

i do actually lean on guava being town anyway too

he is my biggest wolfread rn so i’m glad to see you think the same

i think he is trying to force nonchalance but it comes across as more stilted than genuine town him, like both sheeping your vote on an afk player and narrating that he was doing so just feels kinda strange

VOTE: zone

…tbh when i read the first post i just assumed it was normal ranta shenanigans but now i’m not so sure lmao

if a wolf with high priority in the action order targets and she’s real this could be bad

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CMIW, but did anyone even say that Underdog was Town based on that interaction?

I doubt there are any direct hidden benefits to Mind Boggle since the description says what would happen if a Mafia were to get it.

(The only way what you say is true is if either this game is bastard, or if there are some nonsensical “indirect hidden benefits” that I can’t come up with at the moment.)

As for the Theory:


We got a semi-colon though. I.e., ;.

Hm… IDK if I would say that “putting someone in townlean bucket” is a conclusion. To begin with, aren’t lean-reads made for players with no certain conclusions?

had stronger thoughts about daeron (on the town side) and gummy (on the wolf side) but both neutralised as i caught up when i saw gummy’s points on daeron. like i kinda think daeron’s push on geewa is surface level towny but yeah it is also nonsense i just think it might be towny nonsense with the caveat that there is a small chance he goes for it as a wolf to look towny

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ftr i think killing ranta is probably a good idea because disruption is first in tthe action order which means wolves automatically get it if they have a roleblocker (which is very likely) or they have a 50% chance if the town roleblocker/disruption role targets ranta too

that is assuming she is telling the truth, but i know ranta and if i had a gun to my head i would still say she is lying but by like 51% to 49% and that 49% chance she is telling the truth (and that it would be +ev to kill her) is greater than the chance of anyone flipping scum based on my current reads, i don’t think zone is even 49% likely to flip wolf rn. but if i get a scumread stronger than this then maybe i’d want to let ranta live

i kinda thought the opposite about dia, like tbh this is a read that isn’t best used on good wolves and i have no idea how good of a wolf dia is, but their contributions felt sufficiently free of any inhibitions or desire to look towny yet still felt reasonable (the callout on zone after his entry in particular since i had the same reaction to it). like usually the guy just posting 1 liners and not explaining anything just flips town unless it is literally their first game ever

why do you have jarek as obvtown

Not a slank wagon?

LAMIST. A’ight, you’re in my townleans.

(Let me steal this question for a moment, by answering it even though it was not meant for me.)

I gave Daeron a townlean, but I can’t determine Geewa’s alignment yet. My “personal method of reading people” is telling me he is… “not doing enough”.
(Geewa, please do not think much about this. My “personal method of reading people” is not something you want to know.)

(Let me steal this question again.)

I did not read Daeron’s reasoning thoroughly, but I get the gist of it and I actually agree with Geewa that -regardless of anyone’s alignments- Daeron’s argument felt exaggerated. (Because it was a lot of texts that could have been summed up into a smaller text.)

That said -and I know I am hedging here, and I will hedge even further later on-, if a gun were to be put on my head to force me to vote between Daeron and Geewa, then I’d vote Geewa.

But also -here is the other hedge-, I would prefer continuing to poke the ones who have yet to talk yet.

The interaction between Daeron/Geewa is “mildly interesting” at best for me, but I don’t think it was interesting enough that I should tunnelvision on it for the entirety of Day 1.