Yeah it isnt the csse bc i read the flip wrong lol i didnt realize snowe couldnt have gotten a kill until after a billion days or something- as such she was a very bussable slot, especislly in conjunction w/ the fact that snowe was lowposting
Like im ngl i dont know why catbae as mafia wouldnt cut their losses - snowe was widely sussed and their abiliy was, forgive me, dogshit
Like literally what benefit could they have from trying to make people not vote snowe that intensely
I haven’t backread how they went about this so this may be a gross mischaracterization of what they actually did but i find it likelier to believe that mafia in general just bussed her
My understanding is that mafia was attempting to save her for a bit and then bussed her when it became apparent they couldn’t save her.
It’s what Zugzwang did to me in Wrogn 2, when I put myself in a similar situation: you probe to see if you can save your teammate, and if not, you throw them out the airlock.
Yeah that makes more sense
I figured that mafia would have cut their losses after the d1 wagon with t3 and snowe as the counterwagon- it seemed highly likely snowe was gonna be the next top sus as a result but i definitely could be wrong
VOTE: Catbae
Multiple town legacies indicting him, alongside a clear effort to shift attention away from the Snowe vote during the first half of the day, makes this - in my view - the strongest shot overall.
I don’t think Rue is mafia - I spent far too much time analyzing her D1 and coming up town, I think she’s been transparent and clear about her thought processes, and I don’t think her D2 progression on Snowe is wolfy.
I haven’t evaluated her wolf equity with Catbae, but I think she’s town independent of Catbae’s alignment.
Are there any posts in particular that make you think they could be W/W?
No i just asked bc the town legacies of altina and proph had both rue and catbae as wolf
And proph apparently specifically said catbae and rue could be aligned
Gotcha.
What’re your thoughts on Rue?
Haven’t backread them yet but D1 I thought they were too aggressive towards me to be a wolf
I don’t remember anything from them in d2 but then I get into thread in d3 and everyone is sussing them so I probably have to do my own backreading
There were some mech stuff earlier today involving them that i need to backread
Tldr is i havent backread anything and probably shluld do tjat before cockily declaring that i could probably get close to solving the game if i backread properly
Just hit “you’re all minorities. You’re in the Glee Club”
Or was it we. Idk
Could be, let me check that
Alright, I’m here for now.
I’m curious, could you expand on this? Most of the thread disagrees with you, so I’d like to see this take expanded on.
Before blessing of immortality announcement 3031
Hippo unvoted May and voted Catbae, May unvoted snowe and voted Wisdom (relm)
Before shift to Catbae wagon 3370
5 people still alive on Catbae previously are Rue, May. Pandora, gummy and Hippo, that is why my pushes earlier today are towards them, among other things. Catbae is counterwagon to snowe and definitely wolf motivated
Now this may be surprising, rue and may are the first to unvote
Perhaps Catbae performed well under pressure so Rue unvoted
To Catbae words, he assumes the wolves are just waiting out on Snowe, so May moved out and voted Prophylaxis
After Wisdom is taking Relm slot, memekingpizza voted snowe, only May and catbae were alive on Prophylaxis, the votes on Catbae had been settled in for long
After tutuu was shot, perhaps the intend effect is to dissuade snowe being pushed to execution (like Catbae or Prophylaxis) but it didnt worked or it is the right time to cut losses with snowe
Notice the underlined names of Pandora, May, Jarek and Wisdom from earlier?
Pandora was on catbae and realize that wagon is dissolving. May, Jarek and Wisdom have/were on snowe wagon, Wisdom I think didnt rescinded purely because being self aware for bussing snowe but thinks catbae’s voter is mafia and have fair grounds to be deep wolf. At least that would be the reason.
Overrall I think Catbae is correct to assume he was designated wagon for wolves
To waiting out on Catbae, brain fried
I agree with this, I had it in mind when I voted there and part of why I got cood feet in EoD was because I would expect more of a loud bus instead of the complete solence that we got
I guess that means wolf point for pandora who pushed for snowe to still die, town point for everyone else online who didn’t push either way, and probably a sign that other wolves were sfk
Pandora’s feeling wolfier and wolfier the more I think about it