Yeah
Like
Dont argue that palp seth would be breaking the trust of someone he thinks is town
Since there’s no guarantee that he actually thought wazza was town
Actually, I should save the math for after this cycle, but from the looks of it, its very likely that no one is lying about secretly discarding blues. However, that doesn’t mean they are confirmed as its likely that they could be sith looking for early towncred.
If I haven’t made it obvious by now, Amelia was probably not lying (doesn’t stop them from being sith).
Likewise knowing the reshuffle, I don’t trust anyone aside from Sliviu or Seth to be vc in power.
as much as I’d like to say reshuffle card counting will work very well, by the time we get to the second reshuffle (if the game hadn’t ended by now), Jedi and Sith will be 1 card away from winning this game.
10 minutes
alright nerds
At yes
Whysper yes
Squirrel yes
Crich yes
Isolde yes
Jane yes
Silviu yes
Jarek no
Wazza no
Amelia no
Crich passes
A Jedi policy was chosen
4 Likes
Also
Deck has been reshuffled
All cards in play weren’t included in shuffle
its BRR btw, you get the whole deal.
5 cards are claimed which means the chance that 1 is there.
Also I did the math and realized if 1 blue got discarded, probability doesn’t really change except for Amelia/Wazza.
Round claims (their other likely events):
Jane/Amelia BBR 24.3% (2.94% BBB)
Whysper/Squirrel BRR 49.5% (16.5% BBR)
Amelia/Wazza RRR 33.9% (50.9% BRR)
Wazza/Isolde BRR 53.6% (28.6% BBR)
BRR 60% (30% BBR)
If a blue was secretly discarded:
Whysper/Squirrel 45.3%
Amelia/Wazza 50.9%
Wazza/Isolde 53.6%
as in 1 blue card could be left*
Aka
Theres 2 jedi policies in the deck, with 9 sith
welp, thats a relief that Atlas lost a sith card while reshuffling.
it fell under the table probably
1 Like
how do you do this?
im very dumb ok
one second
Yeah im dumb
10 sith 2 jedi
2 Likes
imagine getting your cohost to do everything
couldn’t be me