Arctic:
As fun as the multivote feature is I question how much it will actually help us win compared to wolves
The wolf team may not necessarily contain a LHF that everyone is happy shrug killing at any random moment. But town is basically guaranteed to have players like this. So if people use their multivote on players in this way, wolves can pretty much always guarantee a wolf doesn’t die even if they have to openwolf with their votes a bit
So my suggestion is that people just put their money where their mouth is and don’t shrug vote multiple people. It’s worse if you’re wrong sure but I think it’s less obfuscating on future days to backread and harder for wolves to play around
pro-town
honestly don’t think I need to do this ISO because Arctic is obvtowning IMO but I’ll do it for comprehensiveness
idk, this is kinda meh on reread lol
Arctic:
from what ive read so far may and tutuu are almost certainly town
tutuu has like. a particular way of making reads when he rands town where you can tell it’s premature and he knows it too but he can’t stop himself having the thought which means the reasoning he gives after it ends up coming out in some elaborate or whimsical form which is what he’s been doing here. i can see him slipping back into old habits by jumping the gun on some of his reads. wolves don’t make reads without being able to explain them - it’s just evidence that the thoughts he’s having are genuine and he’s not burdened by TMI
may is town because the way in which he was tryharding in the first 100 posts isn’t really how wolves do it. he was forcing himself to make reads on basically every single interaction he thought was relevant rather than being more selective with what to push and he didn’t make any attempt to build bridges or avoid alienating people, which even if not intentionally done as mafia is something that wolves do inadvertently. i think tutuu described it better, but he’s playing to get night killed, serious tryhard mode, in spite of what he said about relying on me to explain why he hasn’t been nightkilled if he were wolfing, i think that the way he’s playing… wouldn’t really be sustainable as wolf. if he kept it up, that is, which idk yet
i haven’t caught up so i don’t know if these really needed explaining but i thought it’d be best to nip anything here in the bud
fair
misread probably
Arctic:
i’m pretty suspicious of lemonfairy because “your solve is too easy” comment directed towards may
this is a pretty reductive assessment but if i give lemon the benefit of the doubt i can see this coming from a villager who is paranoid of or suspecting the thread leaders, but this isn’t the case because lemon reads both may and tutuu as town like 30 posts later, so unless those reads were fully developed in that time then it seems strange for a villager who is town reading the active posters to think the game is hard
half of me does believe her when she says she’d post townier as wolf because ive seen it for myself but i also think she’d post townier as town so i guess it’s nullified
also a misread lol
they’re not in the game, right?
Arctic:
okay i see
this is more a comment on playstyle but i feel reading people by comparisons like this is prone to going wrong quite easily. i can pick two towny players and say one is townier in the way they go about doing something than the other one, but it doesn’t necessarily make the other one scum because both players are towny. so i find the utility of such reads somewhat questionable. if you have had good results making reads in this way then feel free to ignore me but it’s just food for thought
as for chomps i can see what you’re getting at. he is hard to read because of precisely what you mentioned, he does things that he doesn’t believe in even as town just for the sake of it. the randomly hardpushing on someone for nebulous reasons is a staple of his play as both alignments so it’s hard to get much out of it which you recognize
first part, I don’t like
second part, don’t really like either
not sure this post says anything? (idk, maybe I’m being too harsh in reading arctic’s posts)
Arctic:
these votecounts are rather hard to parse
i find potatocat towny based on his comments to me about chomps, i get the impression from the way he speaks about chomps here combined with earlier posts that he is most likely a villager jaded/disillusioned with the way chomps is playing rather than being opportunistic about it - he points out that chomps is doing a level 1 wolfy behaviour with the tunnel and making posts to look towny but he recognizes that it’s in his town range so he isn’t interested in pursuing it even though it’s something on his mind rather than actually leveraging it into a push
i tend to avoid making reads on people by interacting with them directly because i find my accuracy decreases the more i become part of the narrative, but i feel a bit more willing to experiment just cuz i haven’t played on fol in a while and i’ve been playing a lot of light games before now, so we’ll see how it goes
fair
very self-reflective, which is NAI tbh
arctic not reading thread closely part 3?
Arctic:
i felt like in isolation retrograde’s response to may’s suspicion and vote on them + peace out was towny
my issue is that they claim to have 3 years experience and i don’t really think this is how a villager with that mafia maturity would have handled it? there isn’t really any attempt to be diplomatic in spite of how the thread is reading may
but like does a wolf with 3 years of experience do that either? lmao. wolves are often more diplomatic than villagers
i am opening this one to the floor
helpful post i know
I kind of like this
lol
Arctic:
really? as i’m catching up i feel like there are a number of unreadable blobs who are barely posting anything that can be construed as alignment indicative and i only have like 5 reads
i think this could be because you were here for these posts in real time whereas i was not. when you are in the thread you can easily fall into the trap of townreading people who are live posting with you just by virtue of them not really posting anything pingy and because it… feels right. but when you actually check back you would probably not find much reason to townread those players
you’re probably reading this more correctly than i am because there are only 3 wolves but i do know that i’m not one of them
hard townread this
Arctic:
i did not mean to send that post yet
i am not one of them - so my impression is that you are being too charitable to people who have posted if you are getting the impression that a zero poster is a wolf because of how the thread feels
wait there js literally another zero poster wtf tutuu
lol
so phone gaming is towny?
why did no one tell me this?
Arctic:
tbh i’m kinda having trouble parsing the game too with like 0.5 wolfreads
this tends to mean i am either townreading the wolves or the wolves just aren’t doing anything and haven’t yet made their alignment clear
but i think it’s less damaging to assume right now at least that it’s the latter rather than cannibalize ourselves
fair
Arctic:
i like how i said it’s better if everyone just casts one vote on their biggest wolfread but i can tell i’m probably just going to end up shrugvoting a bunch of null blobs at eod and hoping someone with more conviction tips the balance
except the people with more conviction will probably be mafia so this does not bode well for us
weird post but ok
Arctic:
VOTE: garfooled
Arctic:
i’m at somewhat of a loss here
i don’t think anyone really sounds wolfy but i don’t think my townreads are wrong either
the game feels very much like a job of sorting the null blobs and finding the villagers in there but it doesn’t really seem doable today with the output people have given and i’m being reminded of why i stopped playing here
i am also unsure how to parse much of or anything that blackcat is saying rn when it feels openly contradictory
i don’t think garfooled’s posts are wolfy i just think her play is wolf shaped currently
is this post a repeat? deja vu?
Arctic:
i was suspicious of gar because of the people who posted her posts felt like they had the highest ratio of trying to look helpful vs actually being helpful
obviously if you don’t take it as a ratio, there were people who contributed around the same amount, but most of those people didn’t actually try to look as though they were contributing
but i didn’t find anything she contributed compelling
the hyperfocus on tutuu for something that seems contradictory but really amounts to nothing, the throwaway comment on blackcat not having done much yet, and the townread on tutuu explained in… that kinda way, are all things that come across as contributive but without really solving
hmmm I think I like this
Arctic:
of these i think bys is town, i don’t really think wolf her just takes the angle of spamming about how bad she is at the game instead of just… playing it and making up some reads which she is capable of as mafia - i also just relate to the struggle in this game specifically because this game feels more unreadable than my recent games and i feel a sense of whiplash almost because i’ve gotten used to more alignment indicative posters on average since i play on MU mostly
i also thought it was towny how she was suspecting me for potentially TMI’ing her when i said her and may was a v/v violence since i never explicitly stated i townread bys
I like this
really like this
Arctic:
i also want to address this
i remember a recent game where you caught hippo as a wolf for this reasoning. but it just wasn’t true and you got lucky lol. he is capable of potato’ing as town, if he stays as a wet noodle the entire game then i’d be inclined to agree with your read. but it’s never really correct to call him a wolf for not activating and tryharding on day 1. especially in a game with this pace lol
this isn’t really a townread, but rather he isn’t a wolf for what you’re saying
pro-town
yeah, so those are my thoughts on this arctic ISO