I forgot about this post
this was the reason MArsh started a wagon on Arctic at EoD 1
honesly
Occams with both kyubei and Marsh points to Arctic tbh
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Yeah I’ll wait for the Arctic flip before going for Leafia
I’m not sold yet on her being wolfy wolf and not just town doing Leafia things
She has partner equity for sure but I wouldn’t seal it in yet
same, im prolly sleeping soon, but also
Ita phase i think is in half an hour
This post @Amelia
I had Leafia as town before today, though if Arctic is a wolf then I rescind my earlier spew clear on Leafia.
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if leafia is a wolf ngl I don’t think this is why
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You act like he was the only one ignoring those objections and look how Wind acyed towards Arctic’s slot. It feels like her trying to set up a chain mislynch and you’re the one ignoring how Wind acted. Also, I’m not calling Arctic a villager. I’m not even defending him. I’m just saying he isn’t exactly lock w like you think he is. Sure, he could definitely be a wolf. I’ll admit that much and he definitely deserves to be in the shot list. I just think Wind should die first.
I already took this to account. Atlas was the one confused about it.
- Give math. Mine says
(0.85^16) = 7.42...% - This would still imply that Proph’s probability of surviving is very low, and therefore it is more likely that he had an increased dodge chance. (FTR, increased dodge chance = lower hit chance to all shooters.)
JUST TOWN DO NOT EVER TOUCH
nightingale
crichard
brad
outedwolf
Probably Town
beancat
wazza
eliza
gorta
italy
wind
blizer
atlas
IDK tier
uh everyone not listed i dont really have sorted, maybe some slight leans if you want my legacy read on someone ask ig
Wolves/shotlist
arctic
gghana
leafia
molly (just sheeping night based on arctic association)
drinks ig
and taffy for elim
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idek how i made that big lol
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i can try to stay up for itas but im working all week and probably really be here except in the evenings (usa)
my work schedule really does not work well with the eod times (get off work 30 mins before eod but could run late)
You are defending Arctic by saying you want Windward dead 1st.
I haven’t ignored what Wind has done. That’s why I pushed her earlier.
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i am shooting molly.
Yes. …which is what I had shown.
…what is your point?
Take me off the shotlist because I’m spewed town by the wolf flips.
Where on earth are you getting this from
I had my vote on taffy all day, swapped when Arctic said there was a red on Cape, started doubting it pretty fast because Cape was socially towny, and Taffy had a wolfy ass pop in and I voted him again.
What’s your read on taffy?
I fixed the math in my next post.
i suddenly remembered the shot molly made
Cause their takes were bad which is normally t!Leafia
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