Grande Idea - Endgame - Mafia wins

(im not asserting my reads, the only thing im asserting is the theory that existence of real wagons = good)

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not this early on no. neutral on pandora and (atm) favorable on meow

i love how all of qbcord just. went to sleep in the clear difference of qbcord post saturation

three seconds from making a STRONG joke here.

? either you need more sleep or something

good posting. and also subsequent posts in general. looks good for daeron. favorable slot.

sorry i’m not following this line of thinking can you rephrase like this vote doesn’t make that much sense to me based on your progression and how definitive this is

justification?

as someone who keeps randing wolf w/jason in qbcord (altho def not here ofc) i haven’t stood on the other rside of the spectrum a lot in my recent memory so idk how much help i can be here. he’s solid tho in gen as a player

i just felt like meow (and honestly most of qbcord) doesn’t jump to reads so quickly off of so few posts. although i can definitely (and i did) rescind that initial take after seeing some other posting

From a recent spreadsheet records:

SURVIVAL RATE:
D2 (dayvig)
D1 (dayvig)
D1
D2
D4
N1

i feel like this is nai from gummy

i usually do 4:1 i thought it was more often 4:1 than not

…
hang on why am i being voted. again. SPEED RUN THE DAY 1 DEATHS BABY (last qbcord game i died on day 1)

in all seriousness tutuu’s posting is not half bad. doesn’t mean i agree with them though

i once again am against giving concrete reads on day 1 but my response to Ash is still a bit more on the negative side than the positive side. no this isn’t even based off of the w!ash meta i just feel kinda ugh because I don’t 1) see anything to give me to townread them and 2) I still feel like it’s a tad aggressive the interaction with gummy.

VOTE: Ash

in terms of people i haven’t said anything about at any point
willow - slot seems fine enough
pandora - needs more substance. would like to revisit.
zoe - slot seems okay
leafia–>tutuu - slot seems fine enough
hazard - slot seem sokay
marluna - [i didn’t iso this slot]

also i won’t be around for eod. this is one of the stranger eod times i’ve played with loll. unfortunately i have things to do during the day

and also regarding tutuu mentioning wagons oi usually don’t pop my vote until later on in the phase.

ok i’m going back to work

I don’t really know.
MAybe checking my mafia games, if I am acting differently than there could be a good idea?
(I remember my mafia games more than my villa games, tbh… Knight errant, Cat combinatorics, April reconstructed, and planet 9-er, are the main ones I would say represent most of my mafia games. I would say so.)
My most current town games (beside Ice cream) was FAM 5, I think. And Wrogn, probably.

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Ok i’ve skimmed through two town games and two maf games. I wasn’t aware that you tended not to make d1 reads, which your previous games back up.

This seems to be true based on the games I looked at.

I think this is towny as well. I think this comes from a villager who wants to contribute to the game as best as they can (even w/o making reads) and is frustrated that they are being wolfread despite that, and I’m having trouble imagining a wolf saying this.

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As soon as i figure out how to unvote…

UNVOTE

I see no reasons why I should doubt my townlean the leafia/tutuu slot. I like the energy behind tutuu’s posts, which I think comes from a villager excited to solve.

Tutuu is just town here always town here

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I like this as an option, ngl

I will wagon them

VOTE: hazardwaste

Having skimmed theur iso idk if this is good anymore

@tutuu i think Jason was way too paranoid of me to be wolf

Ok, I feel like I should clarify what my thought process there was.

My attention was mainly focused on analyzing the Grand Ideas thread in case there were things that we needed to keep an eye on, specifically in terms of anticlaim or just wacky roles in general. I saw Jason’s post, noted that it was my exact strategy in Combinatorics D1. skimmed meow and Willow, and didn’t see anything that I would consider materially town. Combine this with the fact that I saw Willow posting random roles right after finding the existence of DuckQueen, and I was in a position to argue what I did. I wasn’t attempting to make an argument in and of itself because that wasn’t my focus, and I expected to come back and evaluate socials after I was done.

I do this the following day:

Willow Posts

Town - Game 1




Town - Game 2


Town - Popcorny Turbo

These are posts that are very reactive to threadstate at the time, where Willow doesn’t really attempt to influence it as much as she lets it influence her.
Countered by:

Anti-Town - April Showers The Third

Anti-Town - ToS3

Her town posts feel very carefree while her wolf (conflating wolf with anti-town here, but I don’t feel her tactics would change between the two) posts feel like she’s pressured to do things, pressured to not underperform.
This is why I backtrack and agree with Jason: his read was correct, but he filed her as a townread without viewing it in the context of Willow’s difference in playstyle. The distinction is the difference between a handwave and a more thorough examination, and my ā€˜concession’ is meant to say, ā€œHe is correct, even if his approach was wrong.ā€

meow Posts

Town Meow

Game 1

although maybe would be against people I’ve missed interacting with being d1 voted out (ignore that I’m voting {person} right now hm)

from what I’ve seen, not the biggest fan of the {Carbon} fixation on {person} right now but it’s probably not mafia behavior I guess

agree {person} is most likely of the list but not convinced the coincidence is hard evidence of {person} being linked

Game 2

he hasn’t rolled maf/played recently enough for it to be a reliable one/surely he’d fix it if so, but I am currently fine townreading him
it’s me leaving a backdoor in case he’s actually mafia naturally

like I could be biased and wrong and this could just be feeding into my town {person} memories or whatever but {person} is usually pretty transparently town

Game 3

think {Aurora} and {Chef} are both fine for now, {Chef} feels {Chef} and I think there’s some towncred in {Aurora} saying their action was flavorchefable from their name

Game 4

I’m not actually sure why he claimed that in the first place
maybe a {person} thing

I kinda agree w/ {Gummy} about {Chef}/vaguely think I owe him some revenge, but also that would require convincing other people to vote him, and I don’t care enough to do it right now

Mafia Meow

not going to lie, I’m tempted to [vote] {person} again
that seems mean though

{Ben} always has these aggressive vibes I do not vibe with

actually I was about to say I forgot that {Chef} is always a comfortable d1 vote

SK Meow (filing this alongside the Mafia Meow posts because win condition was to kill 4 players)

yes and people don’t want to just vote random people in fear of getting sussed or whatever

not all of us have already categorized the current playerbase into a tierlist

my personal reason is just that I want {Chef} to get a chance to play (and I’ve gotten over shakespeare since I didn’t play the last game with {Chef} {Chef}-ing)

I feel the more aggressive personality of w!meow shows itself here in ways that it doesn’t show itself in this game.

Jason Posts

Town Jason

Game 1


Game 2


Mafia Jason

Game 1

{meow}-
if town: claiming miller at start of game is the standard play
if mafia: risks being counterclaimed by actual miller and being pushed out d1

{person}-
if town: claiming miller at start of game is standard play, having two millers in a game is strange but not unheard of
if mafia: potential ploy to avoid redcheck, would not have anticipated being counterclaimed by {other person}

{other person}-
if town: standard play etc, even if two other millers have claimed
if mafia: extremely risky play given that two millers being present is already strange

i think im expressing my thoughts badly but i think if one of the millers is mafia, it prob is {person}?
{person} is also prob the most likely to fakeclaim miller from a playstyle perspective

Game 2

image

Bold of you to assume {Chef} would read his roletext
Wasn’t there that one game where he didn’t read and got vanillized d1

Oh there was a bit in one of the games in which {person} played where people voted him d1 and people started doing it in games where {person} wasn’t playing
Perhaps {meow} is to blame (citation needed)

i think {person} and {Aurora} could also help if im not around

real
welp

i wonder if there are any botc-lite roles

There’s a sharp contrast between how Jason locks in for town games versus being more vapid for mafia games, and imo, I’ve seen more of the former in this game.

Carbon Posts

Town Carbon

Game 1

Jfc where are there so many messages alr.

I’m in the right chat {Ben} I swear
it’s not like
yk
I am going to finish my mother’s process of dinner, I will read more tomorrow

I am feeling so devious this game
I do not understand a word of what my roletext says! But we vibing
I think this one is more to the effect of I have smolbrain, physics makes no sense to me (why did I [redacting because possibly doxxing]) and also I am fuzzybrained

what’s good
you’re dying tonight

Game 2

there are innocent wittle hsers here {Ash} >:(
oh my lord
please
end this alr

can i vote {person} j to end me seeing this role :skull:
(it’s for nothing else i promise)

Game 3

What happened last night

:+1:
hi sorry
Have been busy all morning and also {GM} started the game at a terrible time
And he’s decided to make fun of me to start the game

yep yep ofc :pray:
j uh give me a bit
I have a lot on my plate rn and am just trying to not get activity-warned

Mafia Carbon

Game 1


Game 2

Welcome to mafia {person}!
I want that list :laughing: i should read up on lore
Anyway {person} since on Day 1 we have no mechanical info to work with
We are doing social reads or fooling around :)
I take it {meow} just dumped you in here? (in a good way)

Do you want me to vote you instead?
I fear you too
it’s like my character
like everyone is sus of my character
so hence i’m a miller
idk hsr don’t come after me for lore :laughing:

oh man maybe i should turn you into my joke vote /j
no {person} to bully
W friend

When I get my role channel
I check my alignment first
everything else is secondary
I can safely say i breathed a nice sigh of relief :relieved:
mafia of course

w!Carbon kinda just says things for the sake of saying things, and I don’t get the sense that Carbon is doing that this game, hence why I’m townreading her.

This completely ignores the everything surrounding it.
Three of the four people in that post are people I was in thread interacting with and also the highest posters in the game. I am making a note that I am townreading these people at the moment but should reevaluate at a later point in case I am being convinced by the current threadstate and the amount of back-and-forth we have done.
It would be a significantly larger red flag if I chose to ignore the fact that my entire PoE consists of people who hadn’t posted nearly as much. I’ve done this before in Wrogn 2. You’ve made the presumption that I’ve already planned to scumread Willow down the line and am using this as cover without considering the wider context of why I would make a post like this.

Yes; the Catboy role exists and is town.
One of, like, three roles that can make a neighborhood/separate chat, but the other two add multiple people at a time, so it’d be next to impossible to fake that role as mafia without actually having it through Innocent Child.

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sorry I couldn’t fall asleep for like two hours last night off the mafia adrenaline (IT’S ONLY D1 WHY) and then passed out for like 10 hours

will backread etc.

why is each specific person getting voted besides marluna my qbcorders noo

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I feel she’d only claim what she did in #38 right out the gate as mafia if she had a fakeclaim prepared, and given the surrounding context, I don’t feel that she have felt the need to breadcrumb that hard immediately, doubly so since her response came right after Willow asked about the Deception roles and thus would’ve given her little time to consider what that optionality narrows things down into.

but if you join our circuit, you can access all our games for the low price of spending your entire summer in silly unbalanced games

LOUDIFY I love that role so much. yeah I think every game I’ve played in with you/spectated you’ve been town. you can send the games if like, ash, wants to backread them, I’m too lazy to analyze games for meta

how do people usually format backreading posts is it one long post or a bunch of replies

I didn’t read it as this, but I see your point

I guess, but I’m also like, not a fan of the vote(+some willow paranoia I had last night I’ll explain later). and like what other justification could mafia use to push marluna besides ā€œcould be mafia innocent child.ā€

I guess jason did it though social analysis

I explained it to gummy right below. also willow had a numbered post about it that was pretty good.

willow didn’t even post thoughts besides marluna I think. agree on daeron he is moving up I love posters

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Ok part of me wants to vote pandora bc other than zoe idt they’ve progressed meaningfully (?) but I feel like I should vote into one of the existing wagons since we’re 2.5 hrs from eod

Carbon is making an effort to make reads that are somewhat sensible instead of floating in thread.

Ash seems fine enough for the moment, at least their posting isn’t bleeding tmi like their posts were in kittens combinatorics. I did think it was odd that he was making reads and prodding people for their reads but not doing anything with those reads, but he did do that in his most recent qbcord town game so idk if it’s ai.

I’ve made my case for town marluna earlier.

I could see w!hazard i suppose as someone flying under the radar, thinking back I can’t really remember any of their posts or positions standing out.

Of the wagons my preference would be
Hazard > carbon = ash > marluna

VOTE: Hazardwaste

j fwiw you didn’t block out when it said ā€œchinmay.ā€ which isn’t me but yk lol.

she finally becomes the grandmotherly figure /j